Title: Grand Strategy Thoughts about the Future of the Euro, Germany, and the World.
Author: Andrew M Molchan
Date: Wed June 13th, 2012
6/13/2012 ANDY'S INSIGHTS & UNPOPULAR ESSAYS. The Pain in Spain, some Grand Strategy Thoughts.
I'm turning a question around in my mind, "Is Germany on the doorstep of winning World War II?"
My feeling is that for the Euro to survive, the "Euro Countries" will have to become de facto States of Germany. Considering how successful Germany has (once again) become - that's better than a sharp stick in the eye.
I wish the brain-dead idiots in Washington DC could learn from the Germans. Forget the stupid wars; don't build wars - build factories. Nobody of any importance in German dreams of being Rommel. All of the Rommel wannabes are in the US Pentagon, and in the US Congress.
It would be: German, Austria, Holland, Belgium, Finland, Luxembourg, and with maybe the Baltic States - to start with.
The Wide Card for a Big success is France. It would have to be the FrancoDeutschland Republic. Is that doable?
A German-French Republic is 90% an emotional problem, and 10% a mechanical problem.
Think of how different (and probably better) world history would be if Napoleon had more imagination, and had created the Franco-German Republic, and that Republic had stayed together.
In Grand Strategy you cannot have a lack of imagination. The Euro does NOT have to be limited to only Europe. Like it or not, it IS one world.
What if there was a GermanFranco/Chinese Central Bank? And BOTH GermanyFrance and China (with agreement) could print their own Euros? Geithner and Bernanke are always bitching that the Chinese Yuan needs to be more "Open." Suppose the Chinese had a 2nd national currency, the Euro. The "sweetener" in the deal would be some major oil producers (like Iran? Venezuela? Kazakhstan? etc) pricing their oil & gas in Euros rather than US Dollars.
There are several Grand Strategy possibilities, BUT one thing is for CERTAIN. There will be BIG CHANGES - and Soon. (1) The Germans are NOT going to fund the PIIGS just for the "Fun" of losing money, and the "Fun" of lowering German living standards to pay for other people NOT working. Germany is NOT going to become America. (2) Bernanke's Queer Money game is on a DEAD END road. The current US stock market Queer Money created bubble WILL Crash and Burn.